Last night, the A’s managed to lead the Rangers 7-0 going into the bottom of the sixth inning, and still managed to collapse sufficiently to register their sixth straight loss. Heavy sigh.
I wonder what the chances are? This is the third largest collapse of the A’s in franchise history. I could run my analysis based on Poisson scoring and determine what the odds are in my simplified game. Might be amusing.
More amusing than watching balls sail over the fence.
Addendum: For teams averaging 4.5 runs per game, my Poisson model says that a team will overcome a 7 run deficit in 4 innings approximately 0.0148% of the time, or (given 2430 games per season) about once every three years.